Weather outlook by Dave Anderson: August—hot in spots



It was with great interest that I read Kirsten Reichel’s recent article talking about the weather (July 13, 2018, edition—How do we ride out the storm? We’ll weather the weather—p. 26.). It, of course, also got me playing the classic Iron Range game of “So, who’s relative are you, then?”

When I was a meteorology instructor for Lake Superior College’s aviation program, there was a bright student named Karl Reichel in class. Thanks to the modern wonders of the Internet (a cross-reference on Facebook), a little searching shows the two are family. Makes good sense since both are quite weather-savvy.

Back when I first started in TV weather in 1987, searching for data wasn’t so easy.

There was no Internet. We had paper print-outs of weather data from a teletype that one had to sort through a ton of to get to information for our region.

Thanks to data compiled and stored by the great folks at National Weather Service Duluth, information about 2018’s trends is right there at one’s fingertips and it goes like this:

After nearly six months of winter and a blizzard in late April, we’ve now gone the other way.

The period of May to

July has brought severe weather from northern St Louis County to southern Pine County and from Red Lake to Ino, WI. Surprisingly, even with all the heavy rain in spots, the region overall is only a third of an inch over normal for precipitation. Temperature-wise, though, July was 3.3 degrees warmer than normal. Thanks to that, the year 2018 now averages plus-0.1 degree warmer than normal for the first seven months.

It looks like August will keep that warming trend going for the most part. Some parts of the month will be hot but a few spots will be cool. The average will skew towards the warmer, however.

August is expected to be indeed four degrees warmer than normal and rainfall may come up one inch short of the norm. August 1st to 3rd should be cool and showery. The 4th to 13th should be warm and stormy. The 14th to 18th may get a cold snap. The 19th to 22nd will become hot and dry. The 23rd to the end of the month will be close to normal.

Once August passes and autumn sets in, the long-range forecast indicates that September will be cool with normal rainfall. October will be warm and dry.

Best wishes to everyone still cleaning up from this summer’s severe storms. They’ve taken even more popples down in my yard despite the fact I still haven’t cut, split and stacked everything yet from the 2016 blow down. At least this latest round of downed trees narrowly avoided crushing my backyard fleet of rusty old cars that are going to get fixed up someday. Sigh, it seems we backyard car buffs never get enough time to fix those beaters.

Dave Anderson is a CBS 3 meteorologist. He is a native of Ely and currently lives in Duluth, MN. He writes a monthly weather outlook article which he is sharing with Hometown Focus.

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